Alexander Kerfoot vs Kevin Hayes

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Alexander Kerfoot holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kerfoot 50.4% vs Hayes 42.7% (+15.0%)
Offensive zone Hayes 60.8%
Defensive zone Kerfoot 67.1%
Neutral zone Hayes 50.1%
Result Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Kerfoot Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kerfoot
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
31.9% (91)
+22.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
64.3% (14)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +35.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kerfoot is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hayes
Home
41.7% (60)
30.6% (49)
Away
58.3% (72)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hayes
P1
53.8%
22.9%
P2
50.0%
40.0%
P3
47.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
30.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%
53.0%
50.8%
Hayes
30.0%
42.5%
35.8%