Alexander Kerfoot vs Kevin Hayes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.7%). Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Hayes 47.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Kerfoot
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Kerfoot
Hayes
Last 10: Kerfoot 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
6
Kerfoot
Hayes
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
4
2
Kerfoot
Hayes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
4
Kerfoot
Hayes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
47.5% (6,708)
+1.3%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
51.7% (702)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
45.3% (697)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,125).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hayes
Home
51.0% (1,795)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hayes
P1
47.4%
47.5%
P2
46.0%
47.6%
P3
50.5%
47.9%
OT
29.4%
54.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2019 | OT | 01:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |