Alexander Kerfoot vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Barzal 41.9% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 66.8%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 60.4%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Kerfoot
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
40.9% (469)
+13.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
34.2% (38)
+65.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
28.6% (7)
-3.6%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +65.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Kerfoot is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kerfoot shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Barzal
Home
41.7% (60)
39.2% (250)
Away
58.3% (72)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Kerfoot
Barzal
P1
53.8%
46.3%
P2
50.0%
36.7%
P3
47.8%
38.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%