Alexander Kerfoot vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Barzal 42.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 64.5%
Defensive zone
Barzal 53.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 57.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Kerfoot
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Kerfoot
Barzal
Last 10: Kerfoot 6-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
3
Kerfoot
Barzal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kerfoot
Barzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kerfoot
Barzal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
41.9% (3,571)
+6.9%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
43.4% (205)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
42.3% (26)
-2.5%
On even strength, Kerfoot has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,378).
Kerfoot shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Barzal
Home
51.0% (1,795)
43.2% (1,901)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Kerfoot
Barzal
P1
47.4%
40.6%
P2
46.0%
44.6%
P3
50.5%
41.1%
OT
29.4%
27.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |