Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Dowd 53.3% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 76.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Kerfoot
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
55.4% (771)
-10.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.1% (7)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
45.5% (165)
-10.7%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kerfoot is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Kerfoot shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Dowd
Home
49.5% (107)
58.2% (462)
Away
32.4% (71)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Kerfoot
Dowd
P1
38.2%
55.6%
P2
47.4%
50.5%
P3
40.4%
53.9%
Final 5 min
33.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
42.7%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.7%