Alexander Kerfoot vs Nic Dowd

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nic Dowd holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kerfoot 47.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor Kerfoot leads 14-2 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone Kerfoot 51.1%
Defensive zone Dowd 58.5%
Neutral zone Dowd 69.2%
Result Nic Dowd favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Kerfoot Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
14 - 2 (16 meetings)
14
2
Kerfoot Dowd
Last 10: Kerfoot 9-1 Dowd

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
7
0
Kerfoot Dowd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Kerfoot Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
6
0
Kerfoot Dowd
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kerfoot
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
52.3% (6,036)
-3.5%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
56.1% (164)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
44.1% (1,638)
-4.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,378).
Kerfoot shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Dowd
Home
51.0% (1,795)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Kerfoot
Dowd
P1
47.4%
51.5%
P2
46.0%
50.4%
P3
50.5%
50.3%
OT
29.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%
53.0%
47.8%
Dowd
40.0%
47.0%
50.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 19, 2026 3 05:13 Defensive Alexander Kerfoot
Mar 19, 2026 2 19:33 Neutral Alexander Kerfoot
Mar 19, 2026 2 19:25 Neutral Alexander Kerfoot
Mar 19, 2026 2 05:26 Neutral Alexander Kerfoot
Mar 19, 2026 1 10:13 Neutral Alexander Kerfoot
Mar 3, 2026 1 11:12 Neutral Alexander Kerfoot
Feb 9, 2025 2 18:48 Offensive Alexander Kerfoot
Nov 18, 2024 3 02:39 Offensive Alexander Kerfoot
Nov 18, 2024 2 14:11 Defensive Nic Dowd
Nov 18, 2024 1 19:32 Offensive Alexander Kerfoot
Nov 18, 2024 1 05:32 Offensive Alexander Kerfoot
Nov 18, 2024 1 05:05 Offensive Alexander Kerfoot
Dec 4, 2023 2 01:49 Offensive Alexander Kerfoot
Dec 4, 2023 1 14:34 Offensive Alexander Kerfoot
Dec 4, 2023 1 08:03 Defensive Nic Dowd
Oct 13, 2022 2 03:53 Neutral Alexander Kerfoot