Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Motte 51.3% (-15.2%)
Offensive zone
Motte 56.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 65.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Kerfoot
Motte
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
61.1% (18)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
0.0% (1)
+34.8%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Kerfoot is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Kerfoot shoots left. Motte is 69.2% vs left-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Motte
Home
49.5% (107)
61.5% (13)
Away
32.4% (71)
50.0% (6)
By Period
Kerfoot
Motte
P1
38.2%
71.4%
P2
47.4%
57.1%
P3
40.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
75.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
42.7%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
57.9%