Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Motte 44.9% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 60.5%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 85.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 82.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Kerfoot
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kerfoot
Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Motte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Motte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
40.8% (130)
+12.3%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
50.0% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
42.9% (7)
+5.3%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Motte is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Motte
Home
57.4% (235)
39.3% (61)
Away
47.9% (259)
42.9% (84)
By Period
Kerfoot
Motte
P1
53.2%
42.0%
P2
53.3%
44.7%
P3
50.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.4%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |