Alexander Wennberg vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Pageau 59.0% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 60.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 62.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Wennberg
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wennberg
Pageau
Last 6: Wennberg 3-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
3
0
Wennberg
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Wennberg
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Wennberg
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
59.4% (726)
-13.7%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
69.0% (42)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
59.7% (221)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Wennberg is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Wennberg shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Pageau
Home
47.0% (621)
58.4% (430)
Away
44.7% (635)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Wennberg
Pageau
P1
44.7%
55.4%
P2
46.1%
61.8%
P3
47.2%
61.5%
OT
36.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |