Alexander Wennberg vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 34 meetings). Wennberg wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Pageau 54.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 46-35 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 81.2%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 84.4%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 87.0%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Wennberg
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
46
(81 meetings)
35
46
Wennberg
Pageau
Last 10: Wennberg 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
14
11
Wennberg
Pageau
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
10
24
Wennberg
Pageau
34 total
Neutral Zone
Even
11
11
Wennberg
Pageau
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (9,327)
55.8% (9,525)
-9.1%
Power Play
49.5% (1,430)
57.0% (1,008)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (1,142)
49.6% (2,077)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Wennberg is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,007).
Wennberg shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Pageau
Home
47.6% (5,997)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
44.9% (5,902)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Wennberg
Pageau
P1
46.1%
54.7%
P2
46.2%
56.3%
P3
46.6%
53.5%
OT
44.8%
54.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 16, 2023 | OT | 02:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |