Alexander Wennberg vs Tomas Hertl
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Hertl 57.5% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 58.4%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 79.3%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 67.1%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Wennberg
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Wennberg
Hertl
Last 10: Wennberg 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Wennberg
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Wennberg
Hertl
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
58.7% (858)
-13.0%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
55.8% (285)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
62.9% (35)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Hertl
Home
47.0% (621)
60.1% (599)
Away
44.7% (635)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Wennberg
Hertl
P1
44.7%
52.4%
P2
46.1%
63.9%
P3
47.2%
58.5%
OT
36.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |