Alexander Wennberg vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Hertl 54.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 42-30 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 88.7%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 73.3%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 84.0%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Wennberg
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
42
(72 meetings)
30
42
Wennberg
Hertl
Last 10: Wennberg 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
15
Wennberg
Hertl
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
17
13
Wennberg
Hertl
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
8
14
Wennberg
Hertl
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (9,327)
53.9% (8,303)
-7.2%
Power Play
49.5% (1,430)
59.2% (1,995)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (1,142)
46.3% (806)
-7.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Wennberg is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,892).
Wennberg shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Hertl
Home
47.6% (5,997)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
44.9% (5,902)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Wennberg
Hertl
P1
46.1%
53.6%
P2
46.2%
54.2%
P3
46.6%
55.3%
OT
44.8%
46.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |