Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 32.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zary shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 44.0% vs Zary 47.1% (-18.7%)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 52.3%
Defensive zone
Zary 62.9%
Neutral zone
Zary 53.8%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Lafrenière
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
27.3% (33)
47.1% (136)
-19.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
31.6% (19)
-31.6%
On power play, Zary has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Lafrenière is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Lafrenière shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Zary
Home
6.7% (15)
45.6% (79)
Away
42.1% (19)
44.7% (76)
By Period
Lafrenière
Zary
P1
30.0%
48.3%
P2
14.3%
46.3%
P3
28.6%
39.5%
Final 5 min
25.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
26.5%
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%