Alexis Lafrenière vs Connor Zary
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zary shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 36.5% vs Zary 42.6% (-9.2%)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 66.8%
Defensive zone
Zary 76.2%
Neutral zone
Zary 52.7%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Lafrenière
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
32.1% (265)
41.8% (447)
-9.7%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
36.2% (58)
-4.1%
On even strength, Zary has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Lafrenière is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Lafrenière shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Zary
Home
32.3% (130)
41.3% (293)
Away
31.7% (164)
41.0% (212)
By Period
Lafrenière
Zary
P1
27.9%
40.4%
P2
34.9%
38.6%
P3
33.3%
45.2%
Final 5 min
31.0%
34.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
32.0%
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%