Alexis Lafrenière vs Trevor Zegras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 32.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 44.0% vs Zegras 37.0% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 71.3%
Defensive zone
Lafrenière 58.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 54.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Lafrenière
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
27.3% (33)
33.0% (264)
-5.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
32.1% (56)
-32.1%
On power play, Zegras has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lafrenière is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Lafrenière shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Zegras
Home
6.7% (15)
35.3% (173)
Away
42.1% (19)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Lafrenière
Zegras
P1
30.0%
33.0%
P2
14.3%
35.7%
P3
28.6%
29.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
26.5%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%