Alexis Lafrenière vs Trevor Zegras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 36.5% vs Zegras 39.5% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 51.9%
Defensive zone
Zegras 82.4%
Neutral zone
Zegras 57.9%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 82.4%
17.6%
82.4%
Lafrenière
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lafrenière
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafrenière
1
0
Lafrenière
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
32.1% (265)
39.0% (1,703)
-6.9%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
38.5% (148)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
25.0% (8)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lafrenière is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Lafrenière shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Zegras
Home
32.3% (130)
40.5% (908)
Away
31.7% (164)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Lafrenière
Zegras
P1
27.9%
40.0%
P2
34.9%
38.6%
P3
33.3%
38.2%
Final 5 min
31.0%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
32.0%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Alexis Lafrenière |