Aliaksei Protas vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Protas 48.0% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 75.3%
Defensive zone
Protas 63.0%
Neutral zone
Protas 50.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Protas
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Protas
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (20)
49.7% (1,038)
+5.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
63.7% (157)
-63.7%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
34.4% (32)
+3.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +63.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Protas is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Protas shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Protas
MacKinnon
Home
52.6% (19)
53.1% (618)
Away
38.7% (31)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Protas
MacKinnon
P1
38.5%
49.3%
P2
50.0%
53.0%
P3
33.3%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Protas
44.0%▲
38.0%
44.0%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%