Aliaksei Protas vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Protas wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Protas 42.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Protas 54.1%
Defensive zone
Protas 66.7%
Neutral zone
Protas 60.6%
Result
Aliaksei Protas favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Protas
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Protas
MacKinnon
Last 6: Protas 2-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Protas
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Protas
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Protas
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (288)
46.1% (11,264)
-3.0%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
53.2% (1,421)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (68)
42.8% (502)
-13.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Protas is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Protas shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Protas
MacKinnon
Home
42.7% (143)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
38.2% (225)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Protas
MacKinnon
P1
40.9%
47.4%
P2
37.2%
46.6%
P3
41.9%
46.1%
OT
66.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
36.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Protas
44.0%▲
38.0%
39.9%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Aliaksei Protas |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Aliaksei Protas |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |