Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Nelson 48.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 36-23 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 53.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 75.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 64.9%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Copp
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
23
(59 meetings)
36
23
Copp
Nelson
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
14
7
Copp
Nelson
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
15
9
Copp
Nelson
24 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Copp
Nelson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
47.9% (9,744)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
54.7% (1,149)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
43.8% (790)
+1.5%
On even strength, Copp has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,452).
Copp shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Home / Away
Copp
Nelson
Home
52.7% (3,561)
50.1% (5,878)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
46.5% (5,806)
By Period
Copp
Nelson
P1
52.9%
48.7%
P2
51.7%
48.6%
P3
51.4%
47.7%
OT
39.0%
45.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |