Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs McDavid 48.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 52.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Copp
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Copp
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
2
Copp
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
47.7% (686)
+6.7%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
49.3% (75)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
48.9% (45)
-3.1%
On power play, Copp has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Copp
McDavid
Home
54.4% (441)
50.0% (412)
Away
53.4% (421)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Copp
McDavid
P1
52.0%
48.0%
P2
55.8%
48.5%
P3
54.2%
47.1%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |