Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs McDavid 47.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 23-21 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 68.6%
Defensive zone
Copp 59.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Copp
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
23
(44 meetings)
21
23
Copp
McDavid
Last 10: Copp 3-7 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
8
11
Copp
McDavid
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
6
Copp
McDavid
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
8
6
Copp
McDavid
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
47.7% (8,394)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
52.1% (374)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
43.8% (281)
+1.5%
On power play, Copp has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,452).
Copp shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
Home / Away
Copp
McDavid
Home
52.7% (3,561)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Copp
McDavid
P1
52.9%
46.5%
P2
51.7%
48.7%
P3
51.4%
48.3%
OT
39.0%
42.2%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |