Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Mercer 41.9% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 83.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 94.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 90.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Copp
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Copp
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Mercer
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
38.8% (263)
+15.6%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
35.3% (17)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
54.5% (11)
-8.7%
On power play, Copp has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Copp shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Copp
Mercer
Home
54.4% (441)
35.2% (145)
Away
53.4% (421)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Copp
Mercer
P1
52.0%
32.7%
P2
55.8%
42.7%
P3
54.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.7%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |