Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Copp wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Mercer 39.9% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 83.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 98.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 91.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Copp
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Copp
Mercer
Last 10: Copp 7-3 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
6
1
Copp
Mercer
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
0
Copp
Mercer
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Mercer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
39.1% (1,412)
+13.3%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
41.1% (90)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
41.3% (46)
+4.0%
On power play, Copp has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Copp is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,479).
Copp shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Home / Away
Copp
Mercer
Home
52.7% (3,561)
40.1% (756)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
38.5% (792)
By Period
Copp
Mercer
P1
52.9%
38.2%
P2
51.7%
39.2%
P3
51.4%
41.2%
OT
39.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:24 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |