Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Tavares 56.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 69.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 56.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Copp
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Copp
Tavares
Last 10: Copp 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
4
Copp
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
2
Copp
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
57.7% (975)
-3.3%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
56.0% (250)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
52.2% (23)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Copp
Tavares
Home
54.4% (441)
57.4% (636)
Away
53.4% (421)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Copp
Tavares
P1
52.0%
57.5%
P2
55.8%
56.9%
P3
54.2%
57.5%
OT
20.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |