Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 42-42 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 74.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 51.2%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Copp
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
42
(84 meetings)
42
42
Copp
Tavares
Last 10: Copp 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
23
Copp
Tavares
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
23
9
Copp
Tavares
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
11
10
Copp
Tavares
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
54.0% (16,169)
-1.6%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
56.4% (4,298)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
50.5% (624)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,452).
Copp shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Home / Away
Copp
Tavares
Home
52.7% (3,561)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Copp
Tavares
P1
52.9%
55.0%
P2
51.7%
54.1%
P3
51.4%
54.0%
OT
39.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |