Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Backlund 49.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 72.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Copp
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Copp
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Copp
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
50.5% (944)
+3.9%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
51.5% (66)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
47.1% (297)
-1.3%
On power play, Copp has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Copp
Backlund
Home
54.4% (441)
48.1% (636)
Away
53.4% (421)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Copp
Backlund
P1
52.0%
45.4%
P2
55.8%
54.1%
P3
54.2%
49.2%
OT
20.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
60.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |