Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Backlund 49.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 25-24 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 51.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 53.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Copp
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
25
(49 meetings)
24
25
Copp
Backlund
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
10
9
Copp
Backlund
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
10
Copp
Backlund
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
7
6
Copp
Backlund
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
49.7% (13,463)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
51.5% (1,338)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
43.9% (2,465)
+1.4%
On power play, Copp has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,452).
Copp shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
Copp
Backlund
Home
52.7% (3,561)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Copp
Backlund
P1
52.9%
48.5%
P2
51.7%
50.3%
P3
51.4%
48.4%
OT
39.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |