Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Marner 42.5% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 73.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 86.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 84.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Copp
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Copp
Marner
Last 8: Copp 5-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Marner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Marner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Marner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
40.8% (316)
+13.6%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
40.0% (5)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
25.0% (12)
+20.8%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Copp shoots left. Marner is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Copp
Marner
Home
54.4% (441)
36.0% (186)
Away
53.4% (421)
45.6% (147)
By Period
Copp
Marner
P1
52.0%
40.7%
P2
55.8%
41.0%
P3
54.2%
38.6%
Final 5 min
60.7%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |