Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Marner 42.7% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 63.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 87.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 83.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Copp
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Copp
Marner
Last 8: Copp 5-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Marner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Marner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Marner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
41.7% (496)
+10.7%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
55.6% (18)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
35.4% (65)
+9.9%
On even strength, Copp has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Copp is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,479).
Copp shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Copp
Marner
Home
52.7% (3,561)
38.0% (321)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Copp
Marner
P1
52.9%
38.7%
P2
51.7%
41.5%
P3
51.4%
45.5%
OT
39.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |