Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 56.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 83.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 75.9%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Copp
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Copp
MacKinnon
Last 10: Copp 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Copp
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
5
0
Copp
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
45.5% (1,190)
+8.6%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
56.4% (94)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
40.0% (30)
+2.2%
On power play, Copp has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Copp
MacKinnon
Home
51.9% (511)
47.8% (670)
Away
55.3% (490)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Copp
MacKinnon
P1
54.1%
45.3%
P2
54.2%
48.5%
P3
52.5%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |