Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 67.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 63.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Copp
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
MacKinnon
Last 6: Copp 3-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
49.7% (1,038)
+4.7%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
63.7% (157)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
34.4% (32)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Copp shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Copp
MacKinnon
Home
54.4% (441)
53.1% (618)
Away
53.4% (421)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Copp
MacKinnon
P1
52.0%
49.3%
P2
55.8%
53.0%
P3
54.2%
50.7%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |