Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Paul 53.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 50.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 53.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Copp
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Copp
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
53.7% (354)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
59.0% (61)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
52.9% (34)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Copp
Paul
Home
54.4% (441)
55.1% (216)
Away
53.4% (421)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Copp
Paul
P1
52.0%
54.9%
P2
55.8%
54.5%
P3
54.2%
54.3%
OT
20.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
60.7%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |