Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.3%). Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Paul 52.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 53.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 50.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.2%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Copp
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
26
(49 meetings)
23
26
Copp
Paul
Last 10: Copp 7-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
11
6
Copp
Paul
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
7
12
Copp
Paul
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
5
8
Copp
Paul
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
52.6% (3,823)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
56.2% (484)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
46.9% (576)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,452).
Copp shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Home / Away
Copp
Paul
Home
52.7% (3,561)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Copp
Paul
P1
52.9%
53.8%
P2
51.7%
51.0%
P3
51.4%
52.2%
OT
39.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Nick Paul |