Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Zacha 54.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 72.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Copp
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
Zacha
Last 6: Copp 3-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Copp
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
53.9% (787)
+0.2%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
63.2% (193)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
44.3% (88)
-2.1%
On power play, Copp has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Copp
Zacha
Home
51.9% (511)
56.7% (538)
Away
55.3% (490)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Copp
Zacha
P1
54.1%
52.6%
P2
54.2%
54.8%
P3
52.5%
56.8%
OT
0.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |