Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Zacha 52.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 63.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Copp
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Copp
Zacha
Last 5: Copp 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Copp
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Copp
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
54.1% (534)
-2.9%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
56.0% (109)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
44.8% (96)
+2.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Copp
Zacha
Home
52.0% (348)
53.4% (406)
Away
49.1% (279)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Copp
Zacha
P1
48.4%
56.8%
P2
50.2%
53.6%
P3
53.4%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.7%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |