Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 81.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 60.0%
Neutral zone
Copp 66.9%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Copp
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Copp
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Copp
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Copp
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
55.3% (515)
-4.1%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
55.6% (9)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
44.8% (58)
+2.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Copp
Kuraly
Home
52.0% (348)
57.3% (293)
Away
49.1% (279)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Copp
Kuraly
P1
48.4%
53.8%
P2
50.2%
51.5%
P3
53.4%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
50.7%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |