Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 73.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Copp
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Copp
Kuraly
Last 9: Copp 4-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Copp
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
52.6% (464)
+1.8%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
100.0% (1)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
46.5% (155)
-0.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Copp
Kuraly
Home
54.4% (441)
55.9% (322)
Away
53.4% (421)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Copp
Kuraly
P1
52.0%
55.9%
P2
55.8%
46.7%
P3
54.2%
50.7%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |