Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Tkachuk 51.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 85.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 83.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
51.0% (194)
-1.1%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
51.7% (151)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
50.0% (2)
-1.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Home
46.7% (649)
50.0% (140)
Away
53.5% (643)
52.2% (207)
By Period
Cirelli
Tkachuk
P1
50.1%
54.3%
P2
51.1%
50.0%
P3
48.5%
49.5%
OT
64.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.1%
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |