Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Tkachuk 55.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 78.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 86.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Last 8: Cirelli 4-4 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
4
Cirelli
Tkachuk
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Tkachuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
54.9% (153)
-4.8%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
59.4% (106)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
100.0% (1)
-63.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +63.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Tkachuk
Home
53.0% (470)
50.8% (128)
Away
45.0% (509)
62.9% (132)
By Period
Cirelli
Tkachuk
P1
50.6%
56.6%
P2
49.2%
58.9%
P3
47.2%
56.2%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |