Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 51.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Lazar 51.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 51.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 58.5%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Cirelli
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cirelli
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
52.9% (242)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
100.0% (3)
-43.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
33.3% (27)
+13.2%
On power play, Lazar has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Lazar
Home
52.4% (462)
57.1% (119)
Away
50.1% (369)
47.1% (153)
By Period
Cirelli
Lazar
P1
50.7%
53.1%
P2
49.6%
52.2%
P3
53.3%
48.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
51.4%
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |