Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Lazar 51.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 50.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 64.5%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Cirelli
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cirelli
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
51.4% (356)
-1.5%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
62.5% (8)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
47.2% (36)
+1.5%
On power play, Lazar has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Lazar
Home
46.7% (649)
49.7% (163)
Away
53.5% (643)
52.3% (237)
By Period
Cirelli
Lazar
P1
50.1%
46.9%
P2
51.1%
53.3%
P3
48.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.1%
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |