Anthony Cirelli vs Dawson Mercer
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Mercer 39.9% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 56.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 83.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 62.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Cirelli
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Cirelli
Mercer
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Mercer
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
2
Cirelli
Mercer
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
5
Cirelli
Mercer
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
39.1% (1,412)
+10.6%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
41.1% (90)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
41.3% (46)
+2.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,874).
Cirelli shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Mercer
Home
49.6% (3,838)
40.1% (756)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
38.5% (792)
By Period
Cirelli
Mercer
P1
49.9%
38.2%
P2
48.7%
39.2%
P3
49.3%
41.2%
OT
51.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |