Anthony Cirelli vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Larkin 52.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 71-56 in 127 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 58.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 72.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 65.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Cirelli
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
56
-
71
(127 meetings)
56
71
Cirelli
Larkin
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
19
26
Cirelli
Larkin
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
12
26
Cirelli
Larkin
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
25
19
Cirelli
Larkin
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
51.6% (9,056)
-1.9%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
58.6% (2,140)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
50.2% (1,124)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Larkin
Home
49.6% (3,838)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Cirelli
Larkin
P1
49.9%
52.7%
P2
48.7%
53.1%
P3
49.3%
52.0%
OT
51.1%
58.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |