Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Haula 53.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 64.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 50.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 56.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Cirelli
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cirelli
Haula
Last 8: Cirelli 5-3 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Haula
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Haula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Haula
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
54.5% (881)
-2.4%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
68.4% (57)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
45.4% (119)
+1.1%
On power play, Haula has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Haula
Home
52.4% (462)
55.4% (520)
Away
50.1% (369)
53.1% (537)
By Period
Cirelli
Haula
P1
50.7%
56.5%
P2
49.6%
53.3%
P3
53.3%
53.8%
OT
61.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
56.0%▲
45.0%
51.4%
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |