Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Haula 52.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 36-28 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 65.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 62.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 65.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Cirelli
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
28
(64 meetings)
36
28
Cirelli
Haula
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
13
10
Cirelli
Haula
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
12
5
Cirelli
Haula
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
11
13
Cirelli
Haula
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
52.8% (7,726)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
57.3% (607)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
43.4% (798)
+0.4%
On even strength, Haula has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Haula
Home
49.6% (3,838)
53.4% (4,520)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
51.3% (4,611)
By Period
Cirelli
Haula
P1
49.9%
53.2%
P2
48.7%
51.4%
P3
49.3%
52.6%
OT
51.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |