Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Nazar 47.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 59.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 58.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Cirelli
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Cirelli
Nazar
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
2
Cirelli
Nazar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
0
Cirelli
Nazar
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Nazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
47.2% (574)
+2.9%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
51.0% (143)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
30.2% (43)
+6.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Nazar is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Nazar
Home
53.0% (470)
45.0% (329)
Away
45.0% (509)
48.5% (431)
By Period
Cirelli
Nazar
P1
50.6%
47.8%
P2
49.2%
43.4%
P3
47.2%
48.4%
OT
30.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | OT | 02:37 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 23, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |