Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Nazar 46.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 52.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 70.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 59.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Cirelli
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Cirelli
Nazar
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
3
Cirelli
Nazar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
0
Cirelli
Nazar
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Nazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
46.3% (907)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
48.1% (183)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
35.6% (73)
+8.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,874).
Cirelli shoots left. Nazar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Nazar
Home
49.6% (3,838)
44.2% (536)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
47.4% (627)
By Period
Cirelli
Nazar
P1
49.9%
47.7%
P2
48.7%
42.2%
P3
49.3%
47.1%
OT
51.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | OT | 02:37 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 23, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |