Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Hughes 36.5% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 28-16 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 76.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 98.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 95.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Cirelli
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
16
(44 meetings)
28
16
Cirelli
Hughes
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Cirelli
Hughes
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
9
4
Cirelli
Hughes
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
15
8
Cirelli
Hughes
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
36.0% (2,926)
+13.7%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
38.8% (224)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
31.0% (42)
+12.8%
On power play, Cirelli has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hughes
Home
49.6% (3,838)
36.8% (1,681)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
35.3% (1,511)
By Period
Cirelli
Hughes
P1
49.9%
36.9%
P2
48.7%
33.4%
P3
49.3%
38.2%
OT
51.1%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |