Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Evans 51.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 60.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 57.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Cirelli
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cirelli
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
54.5% (483)
-2.4%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
58.3% (12)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
43.9% (155)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Evans
Home
52.4% (462)
49.4% (336)
Away
50.1% (369)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Cirelli
Evans
P1
50.7%
55.8%
P2
49.6%
51.7%
P3
53.3%
48.2%
OT
61.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
56.0%▲
45.0%
51.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |