Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Evans 55.0% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 76.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Cirelli
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
55.6% (522)
-5.5%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
72.7% (11)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
55.2% (210)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Evans
Home
53.0% (470)
54.7% (402)
Away
45.0% (509)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Cirelli
Evans
P1
50.6%
57.9%
P2
49.2%
55.2%
P3
47.2%
53.6%
OT
30.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%